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A Tojan Horse

 

February 9, 2009

DOW 8280.59

January Unemployment 7.6%
 

Ratcheting up the sarcasm, the president said: "So then you get the argument, 'well, this is not a stimulus bill, this is a spending bill.' What do you think a stimulus is?  That's the whole point," he said, as the audience hooted and applauded.

President Obama

February 6, 2009

The President of the United States of America would have us believe that all government spending stimulates the economy.  But, all spending is not equal.  Spending $2500 on a vacation does not have the same economic effect on a family as making an extra mortgage payment.  The vacation is an expense while the extra mortage payment increases the family’s equity.  Likewise, subsidizing health insurance for the unemployed, as this bill does, may be nice but it’s hard to see how it saves or creates a job.  It certainly doesn’t increase the nation’s wealth.  Nor does hundreds of millions spent on Honey Bee Insurance, ATV trails, waterparks in Orlando, neon signs for Las Vegas and snow machines for Minnessota (I’m not making this stuff up).

The President has also said that he rejects the same, old, tired theories and economic policies of the last eight years that have helped create the problem.  The most glaring feature of the fiscal policies of the last eight years is a doubling of the national debt from $5 trillion to $10 trillion.  Yet, this “solution” will accumulate deficits even faster and the national debt will grow even more quickly.  While it is true that we will pass this debt on to our grandchildren, we’ll have to start making the payments now.  

“All animals are equal.  Some animals are more equal than others.”

George Orwell, “Animal Farm”

During the same period that Congress doubled the national debt, state and local governments were not idle.  Spending by state and local governments grew five times faster than the population during this period.  I doubt that anyone can say that their state and local government delivers five times the services or functions five times better than it did eight years ago.  Nonetheless, the President says that unless the Federal government delivers $40,000,000,000 to state and local governments, teachers, firemen and police may have to be laid off and essential services may suffer.  Perhaps.  Or, perhaps we are neatly shifting the cost of bailing out California to Kansas or just buying votes for Democrats?  When did we vote to create a protected class of government employees that we must hold harmless from economic hardship while the taxpayers remain subject to loss of income, unemployment and foreclosure?  This seems to run counter to the idea that “…everyone will have to make sacrafices and have “skin in the game.”

"We have tried spending money. We are spending more than we have ever spent before and it does not work. And I have just one interest, and if I am wrong ... somebody else can have my job. I want to see this country prosperous. I want to see people get a job. I want to see people get enough to eat. We have never made good on our promises ... I say after eight years of this Administration we have just as much unemployment as when we started ... And an enormous debt to boot!"

Henry Morganthau, Secretary of the Treasury

May 1939

John Maynard Keynes was a British economist who’s “General Theory of Employment, Money and Interest” delighted politicians around the world.  For the first time they were given license to spend money they didn’t have.  The Great Depression and Keynes theory gave “Progressives”, as they were known in the 1930’s and again today, the justification for grand social experiments and sweeping public works projects that they promised would provide jobs, end scarcity and create prosperity.  Nowhere, at no time has this theory been proved.  Indeed, actual experience has proved otherwise.  What we know from our own experience is that prosperity is followed by higher taxes and government interference in markets, followed by recession averaging 18 months, then recovery.  We know that tax cuts fueled the prosperity of the 1920’s, that tax cuts fueled the prosperity of the 1960’s and that the tax cuts after the 1982 recession (when unemployment reached more than 10 percent) resulted in 25 years of economic growth.  This bill will fail and its failure will be used, as all government failures are, to justify the next $1 trillion in spending and the $1 trillion after that.

The only thing about “The Raw Deal” that challenges the imagination is the amount of money it spends.  One marked feature of this plan is the poverty of the ideas it contains.  We will spend $1 trillion dollars but we will not get the grandeur of the Boulder Dam, the sweep of the TVA or the majesty of the Golden Gate Bridge.  Instead we get smoking cessation, contraceptives and “community stabilization” programs and ACORN will be collecting fees to insulate homes on the south side of Chicago.  It is as if, being unable to find enough rusty bridges and cracked pavement, the bill has been deliberately bulked up for the sole purpose of distracting attention from the permanent social change it will make.  For the first time taxpayers in the United States of America will be a 40% minority and the foundations for socialized medicine will be laid. 

The Recovery and Reinvestment Act is not an economic program or a jobs program, it is a Trojan horse.

It is a Trojan horse we don’t have to accept.  After the Senate approves it, the House and Senate must reconcile the bill and then both must pass it.  As its provisions are revealed, public support for this bill is dropping like a stone.  The President has tried to avoid investing his own political capital in this dreadful bill but Republican opposition has forced him to come out of hiding and campaign for the bill.  This may boost support temporarily.  This is why Americans are being exposed to fear tactics in a bum’s rush to pass the bill without real consideration.  Failing to pass this bill will not result in calamity.  Passage will.

Call your Representative, call your Senators.  Keep calling.  Urge them to vote NO!

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Birth Control Stimulus Saves?

 

1/26/09

DOW: 8,077.56

December 2008 Unemployment Rate: 7.2%

From The Drudge Report


PELOSI SAYS BIRTH CONTROL WILL HELP ECONOMY
Sun Jan 25 2009 22:13:43 ET

Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi boldly defended a move to add birth control funding to the new economic "stimulus" package, claiming "contraception will reduce costs to the states and to the federal government."

Pelosi, the mother of 5 children and 6 grandchildren, who once said, "Nothing in my life will ever, ever compare to being a mom," seemed to imply babies are somehow a burden on the treasury.

The revelation came during an exchange Sunday morning on ABC's THIS WEEK.

STEPHANOPOULOS: Hundreds of millions of dollars to expand family planning services. How is that stimulus?

PELOSI: Well, the family planning services reduce cost. They reduce cost. The states are in terrible fiscal budget crises now and part of what we do for children's health, education and some of those elements are to help the states meet their financial needs. One of those - one of the initiatives you mentioned, the contraception, will reduce costs to the states and to the federal government.

STEPHANOPOULOS: So no apologies for that?

PELOSI: No apologies. No. we have to deal with the consequences of the downturn in our economy.

But, wait! When Social Security was passed there were 13 workers for every retireee, the retirement age was 65 and the average life expectancy was 66 years. In about 20 years there will only be two workers for every retiree and life expectancy will be in the 80’s. Isn’t the Social Security System running out of workers to pay benefits for retirees?   Isn’t “birth control” economically counterproductive?

But wait! Last year the Federal Government gave $309 million dollars to Planned Parenthood. $309,000,000. Now Democrats want to include $300,000,000 in their “Stimulus”. Where is the “stimulus” from last years gift to Planned Parenthood? How many people in the United States make prophilactics, birth control pills and perform abortions? Will this $300,000,000 save their jobs? 

But wait! Do you realize that if something should happen to the President and the Vice-President also goes “toes up”, Nancy Pelosi will become President of the United States?

But wait! Don’t you agree with me that Democrats should add $300,000,000 to the Stimulus Bill for Viagra? That would assure that the stimulus would actually stimulate some result.  And it would help to assure that the $300,000,000 for birth control was put to good use.   Would that cause a tingle up Chris Mathews leg?

 

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Stop the Stimulus Madness!

 The President-Elect announced today that he can't wait until he takes office and wants yet another stimulus package passed as soon as possible.  So far, I think we're looking at up to $3 trillion in bailouts, rescues and stimulus spending.  We're spending to bail out banks, prop up the auto industry and we have state and local governments standing in line for a Federal check.
 
In case your wondering, the taxpayer is going to foot the bill for all of this and no one has explained exactly how this spending is supposed to solve any economic problem.  I don't understand how its supposed to put a floor under home values.  I don't see how its going to get people to buy cars.  I don't get how underwriting state and local government budgets creates productive jobs.
 
There has been talk of spending for infrastructure.  Re-building bridges, improving highways and so forth reminds me of the WPA during the Great Depression.  It didn't work to end the Depression in the 1930's so what makes anyone believe it will work to stimulate the economy now?  Every economist I've seen talk about infrastructure spending says it takes too long to get money into the system to do any good.
 
What all these stimulus ideas have in common is political payoffs to unions and other constiuencies.  They're earmarks and graft on steroids.
 
I have a couple of  ideas.  If the government wants to stimulate the economy that must mean getting people to buy things.  So, how about cutting taxes to put money in the hands of people?  Would you like to see your 401k soar in value?  How about eliminating the capital gains tax to encourage investors to start buying stocks again?  That should be a no brainer right now, since there are no gains to tax anyway!
 
 
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